Wall Street Speculation Myth

Gambling Excitement.

Mostly most people enjoy gambling, and indulge themselves at least occasionally and within limits. For those willing to risk thousands of dollars or more at a time, and who like a complicated game, the stock market is ideal for gambling or, as it is more politely called, speculating or trading. In most forms of gambling, a player's choices of possible action are few. But a speculator in stocks can choose among tens of thousands of companies, and the other players are invisible, unknown, and unnumbered; also, everyone is free to enter or leave the game as he pleases. The frequent fluctuations in the price of stock furnish the exclusion that makes life interesting for a speculator, or does it when it loss 50% of its starting cash?

Wall Street, physically and literately a crooked, narrow, dark street on lower Manhattan Island, is the principal American center for financial operations. On it is the New York Stock Exchange, often called 'The Big Board,' the most prominent of the stock markets. connected with the ownership of big business in the United States, no matter how or where those activities actually take place. So anyone who buys or sells shares of stock in a corporation is doing business in Wall Street.

Any town in the United States contains at least one person called a stockbroker or investment dealer or security dealer. Broker and dealer firms vary greatly in size, ranging from one-man outfits to partnerships and corporations with big headquarter offices and branches in many cities. Although these firms are independent, they are band together nationally as members of stock exchanges and associations; and to hold their memberships, the firms must obey certain rules.

To buy stock, a man gives his order to one of these brokers or dealers by phone or electronically through internet and pays a fee based on a standard schedule of rates. When he sells stock, this involves another fee, except for stock in a few companies that redeem the stock they issue.

Speculators Preferred.

The more frequently a customer buys and sells, the more fees he pays. A broker or dealer can not make much income on a customer who buys stock and holds it for many years, except for the few customers who are wealthy enough to own a large amount of stock. So a broker or dealer is likely to prefer active speculators as customers; and the stock exchanges handle transactions in a manner designed mainly to please speculators, with extreme emphasis on speed.

A speculator aims to buy a stock that will soon rise considering in price, so that he can then sell at a profit. Or if he expects a stock to drop in price, he "sells short," a device that enables him to borrow and sell stock he does not own, and to make a profit if the price falls soon enough and far enough. Either way, he needs a forecast or a tip on how the stock's price is going to move. Brokers furnish these as a free service to their customers. Or a speculator can subscribe to one or more of the advisory services that issue forecasts frequently, usually weekly.

An outfit that makes a business of offering advice on the stock market has a better chance of selling its forecasts to a customer who keeps close watch on the market and acts frequently. So while one adviser may differ sharply with others as to what is going to happen and which stock is best to buy or sell, the advisers have the effect of working together in arousing speculators to act, and frequently. The great majority of the advertisements issued by advisory services and brokers are aimed at people inclusively to do at least a little gambling.

Does stock gambling pay?

Of course most speculators sometimes guess right, and in a period of rapid rise in the average level of stock prices, the odds are in favor of a speculator's being able to sell his stock for considerably more than it cost him. But is there proof that some method of speculating has worked well, on the average, over a period long enough to include all sorts of conditions? It seems likely that no experienced gambler has adequate long-term records, at least not that he cares to publish.

Wall Street contains numerous brokers and other advisors, apparently quite prosperous, who recommend speculation, the implication being that they can show a client how to gamble successfully.

But a cautious amateur needs the answer to two questions:

(1) Did the adviser's wealth come from his own skill in speculation, or from some other source; and especially, is it the result of his skill in inducing large numbers of get-rich-quick clients to pay his fees?

(2) If the advisor has actually been consistently successful in speculating, does he understand how he did it, and can he explain well enough that his client can have long-term good results?
I personally think stock speculation is more a myth than a recommendable strategy.